Indian markets are at record highs owing to surplus liquidity globally and positibe global cues despite concerns of Covid resurfacing in few of the economies including Australia where fresh curbs are put in place. On the previous day, Nifty and Sensex hit a fresh high and Technical Research Analyst at HDFC Securities on his interpretation of market mood on Thursday said "A reasonable positive candle was formed on Thursday and the market placed near the all-time high towards the close. This pattern indicates an attempt of upside breakout of the larger month-old consolidation pattern at 15,915 levels".
"But the lack of strength at the highs could dampen the effort of bulls to sustain above the hurdle. Further consolidation at the highs could bring bears into action to witness next round of downward correction from the highs, as happened in past," he added.
Now at this juncture while it is difficult as well as risky to get into stock markets, here are specified few of the brokerage 'Buy' calls for gains of up to 47%.
1. Indo Count Industries
Edelweiss Financial Services in its report dated July 15 has given a buy recommendation for Indo Count Industries for a target price of Rs. 293, an upside of 47% from the current price levels of Rs. 199.35 per share.
Rebate of State and Central Taxes and Levies to provide boost to Indian textile exports
The small cap textile company commands a market cap of Rs. 2,786 crore. The brokerage in its report specified on the rebate to the Indian textiles exporters' called Rebate of State and Central Taxes and Levies (RoSCTL) scheme on exports of Apparels, Garments and Made-Ups till 31st Mar'24. With this clarity there is expected that Indian textiles will get a boost and also enable the industry to become competitive in the US.
"This event is a big positive for ICIL, and thus, we maintain ‘BUY' rating on the stock with an increased target price of INR293/share (previous TP: INR257/share)", said the brokerage.
Several other tailwinds a big positive for ICIL
Export incentives with RoSCTL is a big positive for ICIL. The brokerage further adds ‘With the issue of export incentives out of the way, the textiles industry is now lobbying for FTA to go through with Europe, which will open a whole new market for India and allow it to compete with Pakistan and Bangladesh (which face nil tariffs in Europe). This along with factors like (a) retail recovery in the US, (b) China + 1 strategy playing out, (c) increasing share of branded/fashion bedding, and (d) capacity expansion to meet the strong demand will enable ICIL to further unlock its potential'
"We are optimistic about ICIL's growth prospects and expect it to deliver revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR of 13%/19%/20% over FY21-23E. At CMP, ICIL is trading at an attractive valuation of 11x/10x on FY22E/FY23E earnings estimates. With removal of a key headwind (uncertainty over export incentive rates), upward revision of US retail sales estimates for CY21 and continued increase in India's home textiles market share in the US", we reiterate ‘BUY' recommendation on ICIL with an increased target price of INR293/share (previous TP: INR257/share).
2. Mayur Uniquoters:
ICICI Securities has suggested to ‘Buy' Mayur for an upside of 26% for a target of Rs. 625 from the current price of Rs. 496.65 per share.
The company is the largest manufacturer of artificial leather and has begun its PU coating facility with a current capacity of 6 lacs linerar meter per month.
Healthy RoCE and debt free cash rich Balance sheet
Mayur Uniquoters (MUL) is a leading player in the technical textile domain, manufacturing synthetic leather for automotive, footwear & apparels, etc. MUL has, over the years, exhibited healthy capital efficiency with five year RoCE at ~21% amid healthy EBITDA margin profile at ~20%+. It has debt free cash rich b/s with surplus cash of ~| 200 crore (FY21).
-Net sales decline was limited to 3% YoY to Rs. 513 crore
- EBITDA in FY21 was at Rs. 125 crore, up 20% YoY with margins at 24.4%
- Consequent PAT was at | 90 crore (up 12.5% YoY)
MUL supplying to Mercedes Benz seen to be a big positive
MUL's share price has been a laggard in the past and has just given CAGR returns of ~5% in the last five years. This was amid a delay in setting up of new plant & high gestation period for breaking into premium auto OEMs. With new capacities in place and MUL starting to supply to Mercedes Benz (South Africa), we remain positive and retain our BUY rating on the stock Target Price and Valuation: We value MUL at Rs. 625 i.e. 22x P/E on FY23E EPS.
3. Aegis Logistics
Edelweiss in its Research report has recommended the scrip of Aegis Logistics for a target price of Rs. 410, an upside of 28% from the price at recommendation of Rs. 320.60 per share (i.e. also the closing price for today).
Aegis Group plays a major role in India's downstream oil and gas sector, and its flagship company, Aegis Logistics Limited, is India's leading oil, gas, and chemical logistics company.
Tailwinds as seen by the brokerage firm for the logistic firm include:
-Aegis (AGIS) has formed a strategic joint venture with Netherlands-based Royal Vopak (Vopak) and named it Aegis Vopak Terminals Ltd (AVTL) in the ratio of 51:49. As part of the deal most of the terminals will
be transferred to the JV for a total pre-tax cash
consideration of INR2,568-2,766cr.
-Entry of a credible international partner improves growth visibility as the JV targets a capex plan of INR2,500-4,500cr over five years starting FY23.
-We remain positive on AGIS from a long-term view. However, the stock may see short-term weakness in the coming quarters which provides a good entry point, in our view. Retain ‘BUY' rating and target price of INR410/share.
- In our FY23E estimates, the implied valuation of the carved-out assets stands at ~11x EBITDA assuming the Kandla LPG terminal starts to ramp up and contributes significantly to EBITDA. We believe AGIS' management could have negotiated a better amount given Kandla LPG terminal's immediate growth potential. However, management has indicated that probably Vopak was not willing to fully price assets that are yet to ramp up and have execution risks.
|Share in issue||35 crore|
|M-capitalisation||Rs. 11,773 crore|
Stock market investment is subject to risk and hence investors need to be very careful. Also, valuations seem high so investors need to do their own research and analysis. Neither the author, nor the brokerages, nor Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd would be responsible for losses incurred based on a decision to buy into the stocks based on the above article. T