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Prabhudas Lilladher puts a “buy” on the Petronet LNG stock


Prabhudas Lilladher puts a “buy” on the Petronet LNG stock
Stock broking firm Prabhudas Lilladher has recommended buying the stock of Petronet LNG and has a target price of Rs 193 for the stock.

“PLNG’s utility nature of business (stable re-gasification margins and term contracts), low regulatory risks (re-gasification margins are not currently under PNGRB’s purview) and expanding volumes on account of strong demand estimates, hold it in good stead. We believe the concerns over the regulatory intervention on the marketing margin front as well as PNGRB regulating Regas charges are exaggerated. However, the concerns are duly factored in the stock price,” the broking firm has stated.


“We maintain ‘BUY’, with a DCF-based target price of Rs193/share, implying a P/E of 10.0x FY13E,” Prabhudas Liladher has sated.

According to the broking firm, the company had a stellar 2011 with 40% outperformance with benchmark indices. PLNG has witnessed 2012 as a muted year with YTD underperformance of ~18%, the same is on account regulatory concerns led by PNGRB intent to overlook marketing margins and potential threat of review of Regasification charges.

“However, we believe, the concerns are exaggerated and are largely factored into the stock price. If PNGRB were to regulate the marketing margins as well as Regasification tariffs (14% project IRR), we believe the fair value in such an event falling to Rs132/share. However, we believe chances of occurrence of such an event remains remote. We
are cutting our earnings estimates by 11.6% and 17.2% respectively for FY13E and FY14E. The lower earnings is transpired by lower volumes estimates for FY13E on account of lower volumes at Dahej( factoring limited flexibility in operations due to storage tanks) as well as Kochi terminal. Similarly for FY14E, the earnings cut is largely on account of delay in commissioning of the jetty (now in Q4FY14 against earlier estimate of Q2FY14),” the brokerage firm has stated.

(The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd, its subsidiaries and associates. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd, its subsidiaries and associates, nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to buy, sell securities or other financial instruments. Greynium Information Technologies Pvt Ltd, its subsidiaries, associates and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/or damages arising based on information in this article.)

Read more about: petronet lng
Story first published: Wednesday, May 9, 2012, 10:20 [IST]
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