
To contain the sharp depreciation in the rupee, which has plunged 13 percent since May, and contain the current account deficit, the Reserve Bank of India resorted to currency stabilisation measures and the government took steps such as making gold imports costlier.
Moreover, a new set of measures focusing on curbing oil, gold and non-essential imports and opening up external fund raising were taken. The rupee slipped to 61.80 to a dollar earlier in the month.
"Will this be enough to fix the leaks? We do not think so," HSBC Chief Economist for India and ASEAN Leif Lybecker Eskesen said in a research note.
Eskesen further noted that "ultimately structural reform implementation is the solution, but short term there is a need to rely on RBI and more plumbing measures."
These recent steps would certainly help narrow the current account deficit and the June/July trade numbers already suggest that some of the previous steps taken to curb gold imports are helping, but these measures likely need to be complemented by additional policy steps, HSBC said.
CAD, the difference between inflow and outflow of foreign currency, was USD 88.2 billion, or 4.8 percent of GDP, in 2012-13. A high CAD impacts the value of the currency, which in turn makes imports expensive and adds to the fiscal deficit.
According to HSBC, it will now be important to step up implementation of the measures announced, including getting actual FDI in and breaking ground on investment projects expedited through CCI.
"This would help lift investments, supply-led growth, contain the CAD and help raise confidence domestically and abroad. Moreover, if the government is able to push through bigger reform measures such as the pending insurance and GST bill, that would also help lift confidence," it said.
HSBC said, "Unfortunately, the impact from structural reforms is not likely to kick in near term and the chances of getting big bang reforms through on this side of the elections are small. The policy makers will, therefore, have to rely on short-term measures for the time being."
PTI
More From GoodReturns

ATM Rules Changing From April 1, 2026: HDFC Bank, PNB, Bandhan Bank & Others Revise Cash Withdrawal Rules

Crash in Gold Rate in India by Rs 71,400 in Single Day; Will Gold Price Today Fall Below Rs 1.50 Lakh? Outlook

Gold & Silver Rates Today Live: MCX Gold Crashes By Rs 5,645, Silver Falls By Rs 16,540; 24K, 22K, 18K Gold

1:5 Split Soon? Vedanta Ltd To Consider 3rd Interim Dividend On March 23, Share Jumps; Record Date & Buy Call

Sleeper Vande Bharat Express New Routes Identified for Long Distance Travel

Gold & Silver Rates Today Live Updates: Will 24 Carat, 22 Carat, 18 Carat See Bullish Week Ahead?

Mega Gold Price Crash Alert! 24K Sinks Rs 1.36 Lakh/100 Gm In Week; Silver Sees Losses | March 23-27 Outlook

Gold & Silver Rates Today Live: MCX Gold Ends Above Rs 1.40 Lakh, Silver Up 1%; 24K, 22K, 18K Gold On March 24

Gold Rate Crashes Over Rs 1 Lakh in Single Day, Slips to Lowest Since January; Will Gold Price Today Decline?

Gold Price Crash May Fuel Jewellery Demand: Why Kalyan Jewellers Share Price Could Shine Despite 5% Dip

Fatal Crash In Gold Rates In India By Rs 1,03,200/100 Gm; Biggest Single-Day Fall In 24K, 22K, 18K Gold Prices



Click it and Unblock the Notifications