
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan has warned of a possible crash in global markets in an interview published with the Central Banking Journal. Rajan predicted it rightly in 2008 and is probably hinting at one more crash.
"Unfortunately, a number of macroeconomists have not fully learned the lessons of the great financial crisis. They still do not pay enough attention - en passant - to the financial sector. Financial sector crises are not as predictable. The risks build up until, wham, it hits you," Rajan has said in the interview.
Nobody is a pundit and we are not sure if there would eventually be one. But, tell-tale signs are in there. Worries over China have re-merged. One report recently said that Chinese capital is creating real estate bubbles all over the place. Two richest men in London are Chinese Property investors. In fact, if the reports are to be believed as much as $6 billion flowed into the Australian real estate markets this year from China.
Too much liquidity has already pushed the US Dow Jones to a record in excess of 17,000 points, having hit multiple highs several times this year. Cheap money has pushed the German DAX also to a record high and easy liquidity around the globe keeps chasing Indian stocks. In fact, India has received $24 billion into its capital markets this year as there is abundance of liquidity around the globe, as Japan, US and Europe keep printing more money. Indian stocks keep hitting highs every alternate week and have now become horribly expensive. thanks to easy money from foreign funds.
Governor Rajan had warned of a callous attitude from investors chasing higher yields at a time when they believe central bank policies will protect them against a fall in prices.
"They put the trades on even though they know what will happen as everyone attempts to exit positions at the same time - there will be major market volatility," says Rajan. "True, it may not happen if we can find a way to unwind everything steadily. But it is a big hope and prayer."
It's taken a good 5-6 years for the world to recover post the Lehman Brothers crisis, the hope is that we understand and stop chasing risky assets at any and every price.It's time central banks unwind their loose monetary policy.
GoodReturns.in
More From GoodReturns

Indane, HP & Bharat Gas Cylinder Booking Rules: OTP Mandatory After LPG Refilling Gap Increased to 25-45 Days

Gold & Silver Rates Today Live: MCX Gold Crashes By Rs 5,645, Silver Falls By Rs 16,540; 24K, 22K, 18K Gold

Crash in Gold Rate in India by Rs 71,400 in Single Day; Will Gold Price Today Fall Below Rs 1.50 Lakh? Outlook

Gold Price In India Rebounds After Rs 78,000/100 Gm Crash In 2 Days, Silver Rate Today Stable | March 20

1:1 Bonus, 1:5 Split, 39 Dividends: Hindustan Zinc Share Rally 3% As Silver Rates Jump: Buy This Vedanta Stock

1:5 Split Soon? Vedanta Ltd To Consider 3rd Interim Dividend On March 23, Share Jumps; Record Date & Buy Call

Gold Rates & Silver Rates Today Live: MCX Gold & Silver Price Gives Up Some Early Gains; 24K, 22K, 18K Gold

Bengaluru Power Cut Today: Key Areas To Face 7-Hour Power Outage for BESCOM Maintenance On March 15| Full List

Gold Rates In India Crash Continues Today, 24K, 22K, 18K Gold Prices On Mar-16; Gold Rate Falls By Rs 41,400

Emirates, Etihad, Air India Express Cancel Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Dammam Flights on 16-17 March; Check Status Today

DigiLocker PVR Storage: How Indian Citizens Can Digitally Save Passport Verification Records?



Click it and Unblock the Notifications