Nifty Metal Up 7.35% In One Month; Can Aditya Birla’s Hindalco Be Your Next Big Bet With 38% Returns? Check TP

Hindalco Share Price Today: Aditya Birla Group's flagship metal company, Hindalco Industries Limited is poised for a massive gain supported by favourable macro tailwinds. The metal stock may see an estimated 38% surge in its valuation in the long run, according to expert.

Hindalco share price was trading 0.05% higher at Rs 746.15 per share on BSE with a market capitalisation of Rs 1,67,676.81 crore at 1:40 pm. The stock had touched an intraday high mark of Rs 747.90 per share and an intraday low mark of Rs 742.65 per share.

Hindalco Share Price Outlook

Hindalco's India business may see growth due to strengthening aluminium prices, improved supply-side restraint, and favourable macroeconomic conditions. The company also has a better cost leadership globally, even compared to China.

"HNDL's India business thrives on aluminium strength and its cost leadership globally. The company operates at a cost of production of USD1,700/t, which is meaningfully lower than the average cost of USD2,300/t in China. We see this working favorably for cash flow generation, with the company generating consolidated operating cash flow of Rs300bn pa (13% of EV), which is sufficient for planned capital allocation decisions," noted Emkay Research in its report.

The combination of its industry-leading cost curve and improvement of aluminium prices makes Hindalco a top bet among other metal sector stocks.

"From a market perspective, after the 'commodity supercycle' sunset around 2012, if there was ever a time to own industrial metals, it is now, as we believe supply restraint alongside the macro tailwind of weak DXY provides an optimal position of strength," added the brokerage in its report.

Hindalco Share Price Recommendation, Target Price

The brokerage has given a 'buy' rating to Hindalco, indicating a nearly 38% upside in its valuation in next twelve months. "We upgrade Hindalco to BUY from Reduce, with an increased TP of Rs900 (Rs650 earlier)."

Hindalco Share Price Trend

The stock opened lower at Rs 742.65 per share on BSE. The metal stock had touched a 52-week high mark of Rs 772 per share on 3 October, 2024. The stock has dipped to its 52-week low mark of Rs 546.25 per share on 7 April, 2025. It has a Return on Equity (RoE) of 9.95%. Its valuation has increased by around 25.81% since the beginning of the year 2025, but its valuation has increased around 3.92% in one year.

Hindalco had reported a 30% year-on-year increase in its June quarter profit for the financial year 2025-26. The company's net consolidated profit for Q1FY26 stood at Rs 4004 crore, which was 30% higher than Rs 3,074 crore reported in Q1FY25.