Stock Market Outlook Today, 14 May 2026: Sensex, Nifty May Remain Under Pressure as Crude Prices Weigh On

Indian equity benchmarks are expected to remain under pressure on Wednesday, May 13, 2026, after a sharp selloff in the previous session triggered by weekly expiry volatility, rising crude oil prices, weakness in the Indian rupee and continued foreign institutional investor (FII) selling.

Stock Market Outlook Today, 14 May 2026: Sensex, Nifty Prediction for Thursday

After a sharp intraday recovery, both the NIFTY 50 and BSE SENSEX gave up a significant portion of their gains in the final hour of trade as investors booked profits at higher levels. Market participants will now look to Thursday's session for confirmation on whether the recent correction is nearing exhaustion or if further downside remains likely.

Crude Oil Surge, Rupee Weakness and FII Selling Keep Market Sentiment Fragile

The decline was driven by multiple headwinds, including a surge in crude oil prices, persistent rupee weakness and continued FII outflows. The India VIX remained above the 19 mark, indicating heightened market volatility and increased investor caution.

Nifty Prediction Today, 14-5-2026: Key Support Seen at 23,000-23,200

According to Bajaj Broking Research, the Nifty formed a high-wave candlestick pattern with a lower high and lower low, indicating ongoing consolidation after the sharp decline seen over the previous three sessions.

The index slipped to an intraday low of 23,262.55 shortly after the opening bell before staging a strong rebound to touch 23,582.95 during mid-session trade. However, renewed selling pressure in the last hour erased most of the gains, leaving the index to close marginally higher by around 0.2%.

"The index needs to start forming a sustained pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart and move above the recent breakdown area of 23,800 to signal a pause in the corrective trend."

"Immediate support is placed in the 23,000-23,200 zone, which coincides with the lower band of the April 8 gap area and the 61.8% retracement of the previous up move from 22,182 to 24,601."

The brokerage believes that a decisive move above 23,800 could indicate that selling pressure is easing, while a failure to hold the 23,000-23,200 support band may expose the index to further weakness.

Bank Nifty Outlook: Further Weakness May Drag Index to 52,400

The NIFTY BANK also displayed signs of continued weakness. At a closing level of 53,450, the banking index formed another high-wave candlestick with a lower high and lower low, suggesting that the recent downtrend remains intact for a fourth consecutive session.

"Bank Nifty breached the lower end of its three-week consolidation range of 54,200-56,500. The bias remains negative below the breakdown area of 54,400, and continued weakness could drag the index toward 52,700-52,400," noted Bajaj Broking Research.

These lower targets represent the confluence of the April 8 gap support and the 61.8% retracement of the prior rally from 49,955 to 57,456.

Key Levels to Watch on Thursday

For the Nifty, traders will closely monitor resistance at 23,800, which marks the recent breakdown zone. On the downside, 23,000-23,200 remains a critical support area.

For Bank Nifty, the immediate hurdle is placed near 54,400, while supports are seen at 52,700-52,400.

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