Stock Market Outlook Today, 25 June: Sensex, Nifty Likely To Advance as Bulls Regain Control, Crude Prices Dip

Indian benchmark indices are likely to open on a positive note on Thursday, June 25, supported by easing geopolitical concerns, cooling crude oil prices and improving investor sentiment. Market participants will continue to monitor global developments, particularly the situation in the Middle East and movements in crude oil prices, while domestic investors are expected to focus on sector-specific opportunities after Wednesday's broad-based rally.

Stock Market Outlook Today, 25 June 2026: Sensex, Nifty Prediction for Thursday

On June 24, Indian equities ended firmly in the green, with the NSE Nifty 50 reclaiming the crucial 24,000 mark and the BSE Sensex posting gains of more than 1%. Improved risk appetite, coupled with easing inflation concerns following the decline in Brent crude prices, helped drive buying interest across sectors.

At the close, the Nifty 50 advanced 0.83% to settle at 24,021, while the Sensex climbed 1.04% to end the session at 76,991.

Brent Crude in Focus

"Indian equities are expected to regain their positive momentum, supported by renewed buying interest and lower energy prices. Brent crude is at US$76/bbl remaining near four-month, as vessel movement through the Strait of Hormuz is witnessing steady improvement," said Siddhartha Khemka - Head of Research, Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

Nifty Prediction Today, June 25, 2026: What Traders Can Expect on Thursday?

According to Bajaj Broking Research, the Nifty staged a strong rebound on Wednesday and managed to close comfortably above the psychologically important 24,000 level. On the daily chart, the index formed a bullish piercing line candlestick pattern, indicating strong buying demand near the support zone around 23,800.

This support area is significant as it coincides with the previous gap zone and the confluence of the 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), making it an important level for traders and investors.

"Nifty managed to hold above the support area of 23,800 and witnessed a pullback in today's session. Going ahead, bias remain positive and index to head higher towards last week high of 24,190 levels in the coming session. Dips if any towards 23,900 should be used as a buying opportunity," said Bajaj Broking Research.

The brokerage believes the broader trend remains constructive as long as the index stays above key support levels. Immediate support is seen around 23,900, while stronger short-term support is placed in the 23,500-23,600 zone, which marks the recent breakout area and an important retracement level of the previous pullback.

On the upside, the next major resistance is placed near 24,600, which coincides with the April high and the 200-day EMA.

Bank Nifty Outlook Today

Bank Nifty also displayed strong momentum during Wednesday's session. The index formed a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, highlighting robust buying demand around the 57,000 mark. Importantly, Bank Nifty not only recovered its previous session's losses but also closed above last week's high of 58,021, signalling strength in the banking segment.

"Going ahead bias remain positive and index to gradually head towards 59,200 levels in the coming sessions being the measuring implication of the recent range breakout and the 138.2% external retracement of the previous decline 57456-52783," said the brokerage.

Technical indicators continue to support the positive outlook. The lows recorded over the past two weeks near 57,000 remain a crucial support zone, and the index is expected to maintain its bullish bias as long as it holds above this level. Additionally, the daily 14-period RSI remains in an uptrend and has rebounded after taking support near its nine-period average.

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