Gold Prices Have Corrected To Rs. 48500: Should You Buy?
Gold prices have now been seeing a free fall as the economy is seen to recover faster than anticipated after pharma majors have announced that their vaccine candidates have been found to be successful in last-stage trial. Other triggers resulting in the price loss is the smooth transition of Joe Biden as well as the recent global rally in stocks, which has spurred risk-on sentiment among investors.
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On the MCX, gold prices toppled by a margin trading at above Rs. 48500 per 10 gm and silver. On Tuesday, the decline in gold prices was triggered by sell-off in safe haven assets. "Global equities gained and sent gold lower for the third straight day and pushed it below $1,800 per troy ounce. Dow Jones index tests 30,000-mark amid the return of Jennet Yelen and hope of further QE programs to continue in the next year," Manoj Jain, Director (Head-Commodity & Currency Research) at Prithvi Finmart told a leading business portal.
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Factors causing the downside in Gold
1. Reduce safe haven buying
2. Offloading of positions in Gold ETFs
3. Easing of political turmoil in the US
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Gold price outlook going forward:
It is widely expected that while gold shall remain highly volatile, the weakness in US jobs data revealed yesterday which led to a fall in US equities, will fuel a rise in gold prices.
Further a longer term call on the precious yellow metal vouches for an upside as the Covid 19 vaccine availability will lead to a fall in dollar index, consequently giving wings to yellow metal gold.
From a trading perspective too Jain recommends "We suggest buying in the gold around 48500 with a strict stop loss of 48280 for the target of 48850 for intraday trading perspective".
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